The 2024 NFL Draft has come and gone, and for Dynasty Fantasy Football managers, it’s the most wonderful time of the year. The top of the 2024 class is extremely quarterback and wide receiver heavy, and we saw that in the NFL Draft. Now, it’s time to dive into my Superflex rookie rankings.
The 2024 NFL Draft is complete, and rookie drafts are either underway or right around the corner.
I’ve broken the rankings into tiers, and within many of the tiers, I don’t actually have a strong preference. I’ll have a few words to say about each tier below, but first, a word for those of you in one-QB leagues. You can drop Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels two tiers, and drop J.J. McCarthy and Drake Maye three tiers. Bo Nix shouldn’t be drafted before Round 3 in a one-QB draft, and I wouldn’t take Michael Penix before Round 4. None of the other QBs listed below should be rostered in a one-QB league unless it’s extremely deep.
Mavin Harrison Jr. projects as a top 10 wide receiver as a rookie.
Tier 1
Mavin Harrison Jr., WR, ARI Caleb Williams, QB, CHI Jayden Daniels, QB, WAS
You may be wondering why, if I don’t care about the order, I put Harrison at number one when everyone else has Williams. First, because that’s how I have it ranked. But also, I want to make sure that people see just how special Harrison is in my Dynasty ranking model. He projects as a top 10 wide receiver as a rookie. He’s 21 years old. With quarterbacks, the big edge they give you is their longevity, but I legitimately think we may be looking at a 10-year runway with Harrison as a WR1, maybe the WR1 at some point. Still, if you really prefer QB, I have absolutely no problem with taking Williams or Daniels over Harrison. I would have a major problem with taking anyone else.
Jonathon Brooks came out higher than I thought, but there is a reason for it.
Tier 2
Malik Nabers, WR, NYG J.J. McCarthy, QB, MIN Jonathon Brooks, RB, CAR Drake Maye, QB, NE
The second tier brings our second controversy and maybe our third. The first is having Jonathon Brooks in the top six, ahead of Drake Maye and Rome Odunze. Brooks came out higher than I thought, but there is a reason for it. He was my favorite back in the class, and despite the fact that he hasn’t healed from his ACL, the NFL agreed, and he was the first back selected. He’s still just 20 years old, and he’s really the only rookie back I think we will be starting this year. Brooks could give you good NFL production for two contracts before he hits the dreaded Age 29. He’s a top-12 Dynasty running back immediately.
Rome Odunze has immense upside, but I also think both will struggle to make a Fantasy impact as rookies.
Tier 3
Rome Odunze, WR, CHI Xavier Worthy, WR, KC Brock Bowers, TE, LV Brian Thomas Jr., WR, JAC Ladd McConkey, WR, LAC
If there is someone I am worried about being too low on in this tier, it is a tie between Odunze and Bowers. Both have immense upside, but I also think both will struggle to make a Fantasy impact as rookies. Bowers, in particular, landed in a run-heavy offense, with a bad quarterback situation, heavy target competition, and another starting-caliber tight end who was just drafted last year. As I said, he is talented enough to overcome a lot of things, but the deck is stacked against him in Year 1.
Bo Nix was a big winner, and I would not blame a QB-needy team for drafting him in Round 1 of a Superflex league.
Tier 4
Bo Nix, QB, DEN Trey Benson, RB, ARI Keon Coleman, WR, BUF Michael Penix, QB, ATL Malachi Corley, WR, NYJ
Bo Nix was a big winner, and I would not blame a QB-needy team for drafting him in Round 1 of a Superflex league. While I have all kinds of questions about whether he can succeed in the NFL, I do think Sean Payton’s system will give him a good chance. Between Courtland Sutton, Marvin Mims, and Troy Franklin, he has some upside in his receiving corps as well. Michael Penix feels like he is too high right here, but when a quarterback is taken in the top 10, it’s hard to rank him much lower in Superflex.
Jaylen Wright’s speed in Mike McDaniel’s offense is intoxicating, but the presence of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane may sober you up.
Tier 5
Jaylen Wright, RB, MIA Blake Corum, RB, LAR Adonai Mitchell, WR, IND Ja’Lynn Polk, WR, NE Marshawn Lloyd, RB, GB Troy Franklin, WR, DEN Roman Wilson, WR, PIT Xavier Legette, WR, CAR
It looks like mid-to-late Round 2 is where the running back run is going to happen in Superflex leagues. The combination of Wright’s speed and Mike McDaniel’s offense is intoxicating, but the presence of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane may sober you up. I also really like the wide receivers in this range, I can’t remember a year where we find receiver depth like this late in Round 2 of a rookie draft. If you’re holding vets you plan to sell early this season, I would see if you can get a Round 2 pick for them now.
Ricky Pearsall and Theo Johnson are two players whose immediate opportunity could improve in a hurry.
Tier 6
Ricky Pearsall, WR, SF Bucky Irving, RB, TB Jermaine Burton, WR, CIN Braelon Allen, RB, NYJ Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE, CAR Ben Sinnott, TE, WAS Javon Baker, WR, NE Will Shipley, RB, PHI Theo Johnson, TE, NYG Kimani Vidal, RB, LAC
Ricky Pearsall and Theo Johnson are two players whose immediate opportunity could improve in a hurry. The 49ers have reportedly been shopping both Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. Darren Waller is contemplating retirement. For now, I am assuming the 49ers can’t get what they want for their star receiver, and Pearsall is basically looking at a red-shirt year. If that changes, he’ll move up a tier or two. If Waller retires, Johnson won’t move a full tier, but he may move ahead of Sanders and Sinnott to TE2.
By this point in the draft, you can forget about expert average, ADP, and everything else. Go get your guy.
Tier 7
Jared Wiley, TE, KC Isaac Guerendo, RB, SF Erick All, TE, CIN Audric Estime, RB, DEN Ray Davis, RB, BUF Jacob Cowing, WR, SF Spencer Rattler, QB, NO Jordan Travis, QB, NYJ Jalen McMillan, WR, TB A.J. Barner, TE, SEA Dylan Laube, RB, LV Malik Washington, WR, MIA Isaiah Davis, RB, NYJ Cade Stover, TE, HOU Luke McCaffrey, WR, WAS
By this point in the draft, you can forget about expert average, ADP, and everything else. Go get your guy. I will say it is hard to ignore Guerendo in San Francisco, with Christian McCaffrey getting closer to the end. Guerendo’s speed in that offense could be a beautiful thing.
